{"id":268,"date":"2012-04-17T15:05:11","date_gmt":"2012-04-17T19:05:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/?p=268"},"modified":"2012-05-08T17:20:07","modified_gmt":"2012-05-08T21:20:07","slug":"scrap-%eb%82%a8%ec%95%84%ed%94%84%eb%a6%ac%ec%b9%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ec%a2%85%ec%b0%a8%eb%b3%84%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%ea%b3%bc-%ec%84%a0%ea%b1%b0%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/?p=268","title":{"rendered":"[scrap] \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uc778\uc885\ucc28\ubcc4\uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uc120\uac70\uc81c\ub3c4"},"content":{"rendered":"

http:\/\/patrickhenrypress.info\/node\/205926<\/a>
\n\uc6d0\ub798 fivethirtyeight blog\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc654\ub358 \uae00(2010\ub144 5\uc6d4 22\uc77c, \uc601\uad6d \ucd1d\uc120 \uc9c1\ud6c4\uc758 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ub290\ub084 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4)\uc778\ub370, NY Times\uc5d0 \ud1b5\ud569\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uacfc\uac70 \uc790\ub8cc\ub4e4\uc744 \ub9c1\ud06c\ud558\uae30\uac00 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc804\uccb4 \ubcf8\ubb38\uc744 \uc2e4\uc740 \ub9c1\ud06c\ub97c \uc784\uc758\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc81c\ubaa9 : \uaf2c\uc778 \uc120\uac70\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uc778\uc885\ucc28\ubcc4\uc815\ucc45(apartheid)
\n\uc800\uc790 : Dan Berman<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\ub09c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uac78\uccd0\uc11c \uc774\ub904\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ub300\ub2e4\uc218\ub300\ud45c\uc81c(plurality system; \uadf8\ub0e5 \uc120\uac70\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c 1\ub4f1\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c \ub2f9\uc120\ub418\ub294 \uac83. \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 \ud45c\ub294 \uc0ac\ud45c\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4) \uc120\uac70\uc81c\uc758 \ub2e8\uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc758\ub294 \uc774\ud574\ud560\ub9cc\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ubcc4\ud788 \uc774 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc758 \uc120\uac70\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \ud3b8\ud5a5\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b3\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \uc8fc\uc600\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574\uc11c\ub294, \uc774 \uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9\uc740 \uacfc\ub300\ub300\ud45c\ud558\uace0 \uc81c3\ub2f9\uc778 \uc790\uc720\ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ub300\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc911\uc810\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uae30\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub17c\uc758\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774 \uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \ucd5c\ub300\ub2e4\uc218\ud45c\ub97c \uc5bb\uc740 \ub2f9\uc774 \uc758\ud68c\uc5d0\uc11c 1\ub2f9\uc774 \ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uba87\uba87 \uc815\uce58\uc778\ub4e4\uc740 \ub354 \ub098\uc544\uac00 \uc774\ub7f0 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ub098\uc654\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c “\uc0ac\ud68c\uc801 \uc18c\uc694”\uac00 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uae30\ub3c4 \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbfc\uc8fc\uc8fc\uc758 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc218\ud45c\ub97c \uc5bb\uc740 \ub2f9\uc774 \uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \ud328\ubc30\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uac74 \uc544\ub2cc\ub370, 2000\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\uc120\uc774\ub098 1974\ub144 \uc601\uad6d \ucd1d\uc120\uc744 \uc608\ub85c \ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2ec\uc9c0\uc5b4 \ub300\uc548\ud22c\ud45c(AV; alternative vote<\/a>), \uc989 \uc120\ud638 \ud22c\ud45c\uc81c\ud558\uc758 \uc624\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub810\ub9ac\uc544\uc870\ucc28 1998\ub144 \uadf8\ub7f0 \uc77c\uc774 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ud5c8\ub098 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc120\uac70\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc81c1\ub2f9\uacfc \uc81c2\ub2f9\uc774 \uc5bb\uc740 \ud45c\ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc791\uc558\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uacb0\uad6d (\ub2e4\uc218\ud45c\ub97c \uc5bb\uc5c8\uc73c\ub098) \ud328\ubc30\ud55c \ub2f9\uc774 \uc815\uad8c\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294\ub370 \uc131\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\uc77c\uce58\uac00 \uacf5\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd88\ud3b8\ud558\uae34\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub3c4\uc804 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\ub300\ub2e4\uc218\ub300\ud45c\uc81c\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ub354 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \uc774\ub978 \uc608\ub4e4\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc608\ub4e4\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uc120\uac70\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc774 \ub108\ubb34 \uc2ec\uac01\ud574\uc11c, \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uadf8 \uc720\uad8c\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 (\uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778) \uc815\ub2f9\uc131\ub9c8\uc800 \uce68\uc2dd\ud558\uace0 \ubc18\ub300\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc544\uc608 \uc815\uce58\uc7a5(\u5834)\uc5d0 \uc790\ubc1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd88\ucc38\ud558\uac8c \ub418\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b3\uc558\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ubcc4\ud788 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\ub294 \uc608\uac00 \uc544\ud30c\ub974\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8(Apartheid \uc778\uc885\ucc28\ubcc4\uc815\ucc45)\ud558\uc758 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc120\uac70\uc81c\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c\ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \ub2e4\uc218 \ubc31\uc778 \uc720\uad8c\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc7ac\ucc28\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc120\uac70\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ubc18\ub300\ud55c \uc778\uc885\ucc28\ubcc4\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc120\uac70\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud55c \ub2f9\uc774 \ub3c4\uc785\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\uc885\ucc28\ubcc4\uc801 \uad00\ud589\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc120\uac70\uad8c\uc774 \ubc31\uc778\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub9cc \uc120\uac70\uad8c\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc74c(1936\ub144\ubd80\ud130 1958\ub144\uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud63c\ud608\uc778\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub3c4 \uc120\uac70\uad8c\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4)\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uad6d\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uac00 \uace0\ub3c4\ub85c \ubbfc\uc8fc\uc801\uc774\uba70 \uc720\uad8c\uc790\ub4e4\uc744 \ub300\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uccb4\uc81c\ub97c \uac16\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc790\ub791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6cc\ud558\uba70, \uc790\uad6d\uc744 “\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \uc790\uc720\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad6d\uac00”\ub85c \uc77c\uceec\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ubb38\uc11c\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c\ub9cc \ubcf4\uc790\uba74, \uadf8 \ud5cc\ubc95\uc740 \uc624\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub810\ub9ac\uc544\ub098 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc640 \ub180\ub78d\uac8c\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud588\ub2e4.\ud5c8\ub098, \uc544\ud30c\ub974\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8\ub97c \ub3c4\uc785\ud558\uac8c \ub41c \uc120\uac70\uacb0\uacfc, \uadf8 \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 \uc774 \uccb4\uc81c\uac00 \uc2ec\uc9c0\uc5b4 \uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc720\uad8c\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc758\uacac\uc744 \ub300\ud45c\ud558\ub294\ub370\ub3c4 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubb34\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc740 1994\ub144[1] \uc774\uc804 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uad6d \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc120\uac70\uc600\ub358 1948\ub144 \uc120\uac70\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\ud30c\ub974\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8\ub97c \uc785\uc548\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4 \uacf5\uc57d\ud588\ub358 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc774 \uc5ec\ub2f9\uc778 \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uc744 \uc774\uacbc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1948\ub144\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0, \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uc815\uce58\ub294 40\ub144\uac04\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc601\uad6d-\ubcf4\uc5b4\uc804\uc7c1 \ucd9c\uc2e0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc7a5\uc545\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc600\ub358 Louis Botha, Jan Smuts, JBM Hertzog\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 (\ud328\ubc30\ud55c) \ubcf4\uc5b4\uc804\uc7c1\uc758 \uc7a5\uad70\ub4e4\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. Botha\uc640 Smuts\ub294 \uc911\ub3c4\uc801 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub108(afrikaner, \ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc\uacc4 \ubc31\uc778)\uc640 \uc601\uad6d\uacc4 \uc720\uad8c\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc5f0\ud569\uc744 \ub300\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub2f9\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uace0, \uadf8 \ub300\ucc99\uc810\uc5d0\ub294 Hertzog\uc774 \uc774\ub044\ub294 \ub354 \uac00\ub09c\ud55c \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub108\uc640 \uc601\uad6d\uacc4 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uc778\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ud638\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub300\uacf5\ud669\uae30\uc5d0, \ub450 \ub2f9\uc740 \uc81c\ud734\uad00\uacc4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad00\uacc4\ub294 1939\ub144 \uc81c2\ucc28 \uc138\uacc4\ub300\uc804 \ubc1c\ubc1c\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ub0b4\uac01\uc5d0\uc11c 1\ud45c \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \uc5f0\ud569\uad6d\uc5d0 \uac00\ub2f4\ud558\ub294 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uc9c4 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uae68\uc84c\ub2e4[2]. \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc758 \uae09\uc9c4\ud30c\ub294 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5ec\ub2f9\uc778 “\uc5f0\ud569 \ub2f9(United Party)”\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838\ub098\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc778 \ubd84\ud30c(1948\ub144 \uc120\uac70 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc774 \ub2f9\uc740 \ub2e8 \ud55c \uba85\uc758 \uc601\uad6d\uacc4 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub3c4 \ub0b4\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4)\uac00, \ub9c9 2\ucc28\uc138\uacc4\ub300\uc804\uc744 \uc2b9\ub9ac\ub85c \uc774\ub048 \uc5ec\ub2f9\uc744 \uc774\uae38 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud76c\ubc15\ud574\ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5c8\ub098 \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uc740, \uc81c2\ucc28 \uc138\uacc4\ub300\uc804 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud588\ub358 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc11c\uad6c\uc758 \uc5ec\ub2f9\ub4e4\uacfc \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\ub85c, \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \ubbf8\ub798 \uccad\uc0ac\uc9c4\uc744 \uacb0\uc5ec\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd \ub4f1\uc758 \uc57d\uc810\ub4e4\uc744 \uacf5\uc720\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574, \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc740 \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \uc601\uad6d\uacc4 \uc6b0\uc704\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ub05d\ub0b4\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc57d\uc18d\uacfc \ud568\uaed8, \ub3c4\uc2dc\ub85c \ubc00\ub824\ub4dc\ub294 \ud751\uc778\ub4e4\uacfc \uacbd\uc7c1\ud574\uc57c\ud558\ub294 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub108 \ube48\ubbfc \ub178\ub3d9\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ud638\uc18c\ub97c \ud588\ub2e4. \uc120\uac70\uacb0\uacfc, \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uc740 \uc804\uccb4 \ub4dd\ud45c\uc218\ub85c\ub294 547,437\ud45c(50.9%)\ub97c \ub4dd\ud45c\ud568\uc73c\ub85c\uc368 443,278\ud45c(41.2%)\uc758 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc744 \uc6d4\ub4f1\ud788 \uc55e\uc130\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc758\uc11d\uc218\ub85c\ub294 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uacfc \uadf8\uc640 \uc5f0\ud569\ud55c \ub2f9\ub4e4\uc740 79\uc11d\uc744 \uc5bb\uc5c8\uc74c\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574, \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uacfc \uadf8 \uc81c\ud734 \uc815\ub2f9\ub4e4\uc740 71\uc11d\uc744 \uc5bb\ub294\ub370 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
1948<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uc815\ub2f9
\n<\/strong><\/td>\n		\ub4dd\ud45c\uc218<\/td>\n%<\/td>\n\uc758\uc11d\uc218<\/td>\n%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9(United Party)\uacc4<\/td>\n547,437<\/td>\n50.90%<\/td>\n71<\/td>\n47.30%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9(National Party)\uacc4<\/td>\n443,278<\/td>\n41.20%<\/td>\n79<\/td>\n52.70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

* \uc6d0\ubb38\uacfc Wikipedia\ud56d\ubaa9<\/a>\uc5d0 \ub098\uc628 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc57d\uac04 \uc5b4\uae0b\ub09c\ub2e4. Wikipedia\uc758 \uc22b\uc790\ub97c \ucc38\uace0\ud558\uc2dc\ub77c. \ud574\ub2f9\ud56d\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ud22c\ud45c\uc728\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uc218\uce58\ub3c4 \ub098\uc640\uc788\ub2e4. 80.2%.<\/p>\n

\uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc740 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uc120\uac70\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uba87\uba87 \uc720\ubcc4\ub09c \uc810\ub4e4\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uccab\ubc88\uc9f8\ub294 \uc120\uac70\uad6c\ubcc4 \uc778\uad6c\uc218\uac00 \uc9c0\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc801 \uacbd\uacc4\ubb38\uc81c\ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 +\/- 15% \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub098\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc81c\ub3c4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc120\uac70\uad6c\ubcc4 \ub300\ub7b5 7200\uba85\uc758 \uc720\uad8c\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud22c\ud45c\ub97c \ud588\ub294\ub370, \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc740 7200\uba85 \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \ud22c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc120\uac70\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8 2\uc11d\ub9cc \uac00\uc838\uac14\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uc740 \uc808\ubc18 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc758\uc11d\uc744 \ud22c\ud45c\uc218\uac00 8000\ud45c\uac00 \ub118\ub294 \uc120\uac70\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc838\uac14\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub458\uc9f8\ub85c, \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc774 \uadf8 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc218\uc778 \uc778\uc885\uc744 \ub300\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \ub2f9\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub4e4\uc774 \ud638\uc18c\ud55c \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub108\ub4e4\uc740 \uc804\uccb4 \uc778\uad6c(\uc720\uad8c\uc790)\uc758 57%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc744 \ubfd0\ub9cc \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, 150\uc11d\uc758 \uc120\uac70\uad6c \uc911 98\uac1c \uc120\uac70\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc218 \uc778\uc885\uc744 \uc774\ub8e8\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc6b0\uc704\ub294 1948\ub144 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9 \uc2b9\ub9ac \ud6c4 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 UN\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd \uc694\uad6c\ub97c \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \ubcd1\ud569\ud55c \ub098\ubbf8\ube44\uc544\uc5d0 6\uac1c \uc758\uc11d\uc744 \ub354\ud558\ub294 \uc120\uac70\uad6c\uc81c \uac1c\ud3b8\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uc2ec\uac01\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \ub2e4\uc74c \ub450 \uc120\uac70\ub294 \ub354\uc6b1 \ud3b8\ud5a5\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b3\uc558\ub2e4. 1953\ub144, \uc57c\ub2f9\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\ud569\uc804\uc120(United Front)\uc758 \uae43\ubc1c \uc544\ub798 \ubaa8\uc5ec \uc2b9\ub9ac\uc758 \ud76c\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud480\uc5b4\uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ud569\uc804\uc120\uc740 \uae30\uc5c5 \ubc0f \uacbd\uc81c \uc5d8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uce35\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc744 \ubfd0\ub9cc \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9 \ub300\ube44 \uc120\uac70\ube44\ub97c \uac70\uc758 4\ubc30\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc774 \uc37c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc120\uac70\uacb0\uacfc\ub294 1948\ub144\uc758 \uc7ac\ud310\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc544\ub2c8, 1948\ub144\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ubd88\uc77c\uce58\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. Cape Town\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ud569 \uc804\uc120\uc740 73%\ub97c \ub4dd\ud45c\ud588\uace0, Cape Elizabeth\uc11c\ub294 65%\ub97c \ub4dd\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 Cape Province\uc5d0\uc11c \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc740 57%\ub97c \ub4dd\ud45c\ud558\uba70 33\uc11d \uc911 \ubb34\ub824 29\uc11d\uc744 \uac00\uc838\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud328\ud134\uc740 \uc804\uad6d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ubcf5\ub410\ub2e4. 1958\ub144\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\uc790, \uc57c\ub2f9\ub4e4\uc740 \uc720\uad8c\uc790\uc758 \uc808\ub300 \ub2e4\uc218\uac00 \uc790\uc2e0\ub4e4\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc815\uad8c\uc744 \ud0c8\ud658\ud560 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc778 \ud76c\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubc84\ub838\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
1953<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uc815\ub2f9
\n<\/strong><\/td>\n		\ub4dd\ud45c(%)<\/td>\n\uc758\uc11d(%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9(National Party)<\/td>\n45.90%<\/td>\n60.20%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9(United Party)\uacc4<\/td>\n53.60%<\/td>\n39.80%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1958<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uc815\ub2f9
\n<\/strong><\/td>\n		\ub4dd\ud45c(%)<\/td>\n\uc758\uc11d(%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9(National Party)<\/td>\n49.00%<\/td>\n62.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9(United Party)\uacc4<\/td>\n50.70%<\/td>\n37.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

* \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uacc4\ub294, \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uacfc \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9\uc758 \uc758\uc11d\uc218\ub97c \ud569\uce5c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4(\uc911\ub3c4\uc801 \uc5f0\ud569\ub2f9\uacfc \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9\uc740 1948\ub144\ubd80\ud130 \uc904\uace7 \uc57c\ub2f9\uc5f0\ud569\uc744 \uc774\ub904\uc654\ub2e4). \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc57d\uac04 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub09c\ub2e4. Wikipedia (1953)<\/a>(1958)<\/a>\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ub41c \uc218\uce58\ub97c \ucc38\uace0\ud558\uc2dc\ub77c. \ud22c\ud45c\uc728\uc740 1953\ub144 \ucd1d\uc120 87.9%, 1958\ub144 \ucd1d\uc120 74.3% (\uc774\ubbf8 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4). Wikipedia\uc758 \uc218\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 1958\ub144 \ucd1d\uc120\uc740 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc774 \ub4dd\ud45c\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc804\uccb4 \ub17c\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \uc5c6\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1958\ub144\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uc790, \ud22c\ud45c\uc728\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d\uc778\ub4e4\uacfc \uc911\ub3c4\uc801 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub108\ub4e4\uc774 \ub09c\uacf5\ubd88\ub77d\uc758 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc5d0 \uc810\uc810 \ud22c\ud56d\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uace0, \uc88c\ud30c(liberal)\ub4e4\uc740 \ud76c\ub9dd\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \ud558\ub290\ub2c8 \uc774\ubbfc\uc744 \ud0dd\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc124\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uadf8\ub807\uae30\uc5d0 \uc120\uac70\uc0c1 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc758 \uc555\ub3c4\uc801 \uc6b0\uc704\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub9cc\ud07c\uc774\ub098 \uc544\ud30c\ub974\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc704\ud611\uc740 \uc5b8\uc81c\ub098 \uc788\ub294 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c\uc758 \uc778\uc885\ubd84\ud3ec\uc600\ub294\ub370, \uc80a\uc740 \ubc31\uc778\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uc815\uad8c\uad50\uccb4\uc758 \uc120\ud0dd\ud56d\uc774 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774, \ub9ce\uc740 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud6cc\ub96d\ud558\uace0 \ub611\ub611\ud55c \uc774\ub4e4\uc744 \uc774\ubbfc\uc758 \ubb3c\uacb0\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4\ub123\uc5c8\ub2e4. 1970\ub144\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\uc790 \uc601\uc5b4\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \uc774\ub4e4\ub9cc \ub098\ub77c\ub97c \ub5a0\ub098\ub294 \uac8c \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc774 \uac15\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce78\uc2a4(Afrikaans; \ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc\uacc4 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \ubc31\uc778 \ubc29\uc5b8)\ub9cc \uac00\ub974\uce58\ub294 \uad50\uc721\uccb4\uc81c\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uace0 \uc2f6\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \uc80a\uc740 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub108\ub4e4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\ubbfc\ub300\uc5f4\uc5d0 \ub3d9\ucc38\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1970\ub144\ub9d0\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\uc790, \ubc31\uc778\uc740 \uc5f0\uac04 2\ub9cc\uba85 \uac00\ub7c9 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, 1980\ub144\ub300\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\uc790 \uadf8 \uac10\uc18c\ud3ed\uc740 \ubc30\uac00 \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4. \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uacf5\ud654\uad6d\uc758 \uc120\uac70\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc815\ubd80\ub97c \ud22c\ud45c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uadf8 \uccb4\uc81c\uc758 \ubc18\ub300\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc81c\ubc1c\ub85c \uac78\uc5b4\ub098\uac10\uc73c\ub85c\uc368 \uc544\ud30c\ub974\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc18\ub300\ub97c \uadf8 \ubc1c\ub85c \ud22c\ud45c\ud55c \uc148\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

[1] \uc544\ud30c\ub974\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8 \ucca0\ud3d0\uc758 \ud574
\n[2] \uc790\uce58\ub97c \ub204\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub108\ub4e4\uc740 \uc601\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uc804\uc7c1\uc778 \ubcf4\uc5b4\uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ud328\ud55c \ub4a4 \ubc18\uc601\uac10\uc815\uc774 \ucef8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c (\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc778\uc885\uc8fc\uc758\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uac15\ud588\uae30\uc5d0) \uc601\uad6d\uacfc \uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud788\ud2c0\ub7ec \uce58\ud558\uc758 \uc81c3\uc81c\uad6d\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uac15\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

http:\/\/patrickhenrypress.info\/node\/205926 \uc6d0\ub798 fivethirtyeight blog\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc654\ub358 \uae00(2010\ub144 5\uc6d4 22\uc77c, \uc601\uad6d \ucd1d\uc120 \uc9c1\ud6c4\uc758 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ub290\ub084 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4)\uc778\ub370, NY Times\uc5d0 \ud1b5\ud569\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uacfc\uac70 \uc790\ub8cc\ub4e4\uc744 \ub9c1\ud06c\ud558\uae30\uac00 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc804\uccb4 \ubcf8\ubb38\uc744 \uc2e4\uc740 \ub9c1\ud06c\ub97c \uc784\uc758\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc81c\ubaa9 : \uaf2c\uc778 \uc120\uac70\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uc778\uc885\ucc28\ubcc4\uc815\ucc45(apartheid) \uc800\uc790 : Dan Berman … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4eocT-4k","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/268","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=268"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/268\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":276,"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/268\/revisions\/276"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=268"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=268"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.nobodylab.net\/blog\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=268"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}